Dependent-Innovation
0x8b1df671401ff5810f75290a845ca4d618855042
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$124.79
Total PnL
$-0.91
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
18 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.51
$0.01
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
17 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.31
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?
15 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$15.04
$0.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$14.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 24?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$13.01
$0.01
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.01
$0.01
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10 shares @ 77.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.06
$2.06
- NO
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.79
$0.05
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 88.3¢·now 45.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.10
$-2.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$17.30May 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tencent have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$17.50May 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.00May 23, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.00May 23, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?$38.42May 23, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$10.01May 23, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$11.01May 23, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 24?$13.00May 21, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$15.00May 21, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$11.00May 21, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$10.00May 21, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$14.00May 21, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?$11.04May 21, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?$11.06May 21, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?$13.01May 21, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$14.01May 21, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?$14.03May 21, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?$11.00May 12, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?$11.00May 12, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?$14.00May 12, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $15.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 02:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".