Impossible-Buckle
0x8b3b34583e618ea4bf3c4d67885e8e6c3f3301ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-154.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on September 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
187 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
175 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
105 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
29 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 5, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Apr 4, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Apr 4, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$7.05Apr 4, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.37Apr 4, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?$1.38Apr 4, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.34Apr 4, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$0.69Apr 4, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.57Apr 4, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.51Apr 4, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?$3.86Apr 4, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$4.61Apr 4, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$7.33Apr 4, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$1.01Apr 4, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.12Apr 4, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.04Apr 4, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$2.27Apr 4, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.53Apr 4, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $2.98Apr 4, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$3.79Apr 4, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.