Punctual-Hydrogen
0x8b4410e877fa826c7e986dfb30a5be73d72163fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$602.24
Win rate
55%
109 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
912 shares @ 65.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$895.61
$301.66
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
559 shares @ 43.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$265.40
$25.41
- YES
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
399 shares @ 17.4¢·now 35.9¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$142.92
$73.32
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
303 shares @ 43.8¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$134.75
$2.27
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$126.47
$26.47
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
303 shares @ 32.9¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$125.74
$26.03
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?
717 shares @ 16.6¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$125.48
$6.57
- YES
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
269 shares @ 30.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$116.84
$36.15
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?
295 shares @ 37.7¢·now 39.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$114.88
$3.72
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
271 shares @ 35.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$112.65
$17.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$274.59Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.35Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arda Güler win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.41Jun 11, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arda Güler win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.49Jun 11, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arda Güler win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.67Jun 11, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?$2.21Jun 11, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?$23.32Jun 11, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?$3.39Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?$3.30Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?$1.26Jun 10, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?$6.15Jun 10, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?$8.70Jun 10, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?$5.14Jun 10, 09:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.04Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.10Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?$3.81Jun 9, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $7.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 07:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 109 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.