Flamboyant-Return
0x8b6e64936927513b9400bbf45338067bbd658966
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$42.61
Total PnL
$-50.42
Realised
$-5.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?
60 shares @ 89.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$42.61
$-10.80
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 19?
11 shares @ 87.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
11 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?$17.80Apr 30, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?$35.76Apr 30, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced before April?$0.00Apr 18, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced before April?$0.00Apr 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?$44.37Apr 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?$50.00Mar 13, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$3.93Feb 6, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$15.00Jan 31, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$43.22Jan 31, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$30.00Jan 29, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Dec 16, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$30.30Dec 11, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Nov 21, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?$12.36Nov 20, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 19?$10.00Nov 19, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?$3.99Nov 19, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$2.45Oct 25, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced before April?$1.00Jan 23, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$1.00Dec 14, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.00Dec 9, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $14.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 00:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".