Adored-Fortune-Pumpernickel
0x8b806edfd2c40deffe9fe968a80cdbfdf2ad84b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$80.12
Total PnL
$-164.99
Realised
$4.53
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.34
$0.34
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
118 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
304 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.73
$0.73
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
53 shares @ 9.5¢·now 13.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.03
$2.03
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
603 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.12
$-1.51
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28 shares @ 17.6¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.50
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.00Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5$5.10Jun 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$2.05Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$3.20Jun 13, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$4.25Jun 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$3.15Jun 13, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$2.20Jun 13, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$3.09Jun 13, 02:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$3.08Jun 12, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$5.12Jun 12, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$3.17Jun 12, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.20Jun 12, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$0.32Jun 12, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.19Jun 12, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.07Jun 12, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$8.80Jun 12, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.30Jun 12, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$3.02Jun 12, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.