Large-Carboxyl
0x8b825b892a58645df06590b8ce70d148ce631712
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$874.98
Total PnL
$-582.24
Realised
$-9.42
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
367 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$367.00
$121.11
- BASEMENT BOYS
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs MASONIC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Play-In Group B
722 shares @ 13.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$361.00
$267.14
- NO
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?
106 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$106.00
$20.14
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
37 shares @ 84.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$37.00
$5.88
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 56.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.64
$-0.84
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
97 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.34
$-0.53
- UNDER
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
875 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-595.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the Super Bowl?
492 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-83.64
- YES
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
177 shares @ 75.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-132.93
- UNDER
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
154 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-58.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?$185.30Apr 12, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?$223.45Apr 10, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?$89.88Apr 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?$107.52Apr 9, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?$25.20Apr 9, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?$300.51Apr 7, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-04-17?$227.55Mar 30, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?$73.92Mar 30, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$245.89Mar 29, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?$73.92Mar 29, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-04-17?$199.80Mar 29, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?$94.71Mar 24, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win at least 100 seats?$278.86Mar 24, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?$75.52Mar 24, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?$70.72Mar 24, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?$98.40Mar 23, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?$155.38Mar 23, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win at least 100 seats?$240.66Mar 22, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$240.92Mar 22, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$250.32Mar 22, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $212.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 03:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.