Alarming-Bronco
0x8ba1d38f8ba9e94a830da2222fb99f39b8f3057c
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$13.43
Total PnL
$-695.55
Realised
$32.54
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 8.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.43
$11.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?
1120 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-102.69
- NO
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
1014 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 9PM ET
401 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 1?
381 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-41.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3?
353 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-41.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6?
162 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-76.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11?
124 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NORTH FLORIDA OSPREYS
North Florida Ospreys vs. Queens (NC) Royals
113 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.00May 18, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.31May 18, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.10May 18, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.59May 18, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.91May 18, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.04May 18, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.00May 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$3.00May 16, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.95May 16, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.05May 16, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$2.28May 16, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.03May 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$0.27Apr 29, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.11Mar 31, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$0.85Mar 30, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$1.02Mar 30, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$1.00Mar 30, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 25, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$4.54Mar 24, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".