Glass-Calm
0x8bae7883b1579558ded70ba9fbe89abe0f3a8200
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$111.66
Total PnL
$-795.42
Realised
$21.65
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Anduril IPO before 2027?
72 shares @ 83.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.72
$3.96
- NO
Will Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
24 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.00
$1.63
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
46 shares @ 31.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.40
$4.14
- NO
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.35
$0.20
- YES
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
1 shares @ 6.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.19
$0.13
- NO
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
1065 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-106.50
- AL KHOLOOD SAUDI CLUB
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
718 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-423.62
- NO
Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?
655 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-85.15
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?
355 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-145.55
- YES
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$1.00Apr 14, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$2.00Apr 14, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$296.67Apr 12, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$12.87Apr 11, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnduril IPO before 2027?$324.53Apr 7, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$219.24Mar 30, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$105.00Mar 30, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$231.42Mar 29, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$172.48Mar 24, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran successfully target shipping on March 30, 2026?$59.40Mar 24, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran successfully target shipping on March 30, 2026?$14.56Mar 22, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran successfully target shipping on March 30, 2026?$55.64Mar 22, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$52.51Mar 22, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$16.20Mar 21, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$121.94Mar 20, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$126.49Mar 20, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$249.60Mar 18, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$236.80Mar 16, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$31.68Mar 16, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$31.68Mar 14, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $147.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 03:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 07:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.