Direct-Eligibility
0x8bfcfaeaea61291bb6002168fc3022593cd2b070
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$18.77
Total PnL
$-277.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
9 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$9.47
$4.54
- YES
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.89
$-1.11
- YES
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.10
$-0.90
- YES
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
72 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.68
$-4.32
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
90 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.13
$-4.87
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
12000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2804 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$18.77Jan 10, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$5.00Jan 10, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.00Jan 10, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.00Jan 10, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$12.56Jan 10, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$4.00Jan 10, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$6.00Jan 10, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$5.87Jan 10, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$5.00Jan 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$3.00Jan 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$2.00Jan 10, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$5.00Jan 10, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$9.87Jan 10, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$6.00Jan 10, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$35.13Jan 10, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$20.00Jan 10, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.00Jan 10, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.00Jan 10, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$10.18Jan 10, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$4.00Jan 10, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".