Wealthy-Appetite
0x8c463c5f786cafd9dfe3252c4b2cc81a4b157eab
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$50.97
Total PnL
$-15.09
Realised
$-3.03
Win rate
33%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$5.97
$-0.05
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
9 shares @ 67.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$5.90
$0.06
- NO
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
6 shares @ 86.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$5.54
$0.70
- YES
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
4 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.07
$0.24
- NO
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
3 shares @ 89.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$3.45
$0.32
- NO
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.19
$-0.03
- NO
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.15
$-0.05
- NO
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.06
$-0.03
- NO
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.92
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$0.01Jul 10, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$0.05Jul 9, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?$0.02Jul 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?$0.02Jul 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?$0.03Jul 8, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?$0.12Jul 8, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner drop out by July 7?$0.26Jul 7, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.10Jul 7, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.10Jul 7, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.10Jul 7, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.10Jul 7, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.50Jul 7, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$0.06Jul 7, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$0.06Jul 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$0.06Jul 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$0.06Jul 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$0.06Jul 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$0.04Jul 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$0.06Jul 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$0.06Jul 7, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.