Separate-Willow
0x8c63b9ade2e0e7f540fa2d280a5e4def16f22706
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$314.39
Total PnL
$-1.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
51 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$50.59
$-0.05
- NO
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
51 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$50.23
$-0.26
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?
51 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.16
$0.18
- NO
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?
51 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.16
$-0.13
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
51 shares @ 97.1¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.88
$-0.64
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
47 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.94
$-0.23
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
21 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.42
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$50.49May 14, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$49.98May 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$50.64May 12, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sumy by June 30?$50.29May 11, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$18.39May 7, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$1.06May 7, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$24.73May 7, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?$6.38May 6, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?$38.00May 6, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?$5.14May 6, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$15.60May 3, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$4.88May 3, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $26.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 03:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".