Solid-Airfare
0x8c66e28fbe7ede7f57ba6cbc70408dff442944f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$74.1K
Total PnL
$-29.4K
Realised
$14.4K
Win rate
82%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
30466 shares @ 78.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$26.7K
$2.7K
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
22955 shares @ 86.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.2K
$-728.94
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
9900 shares @ 70.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.3K
$314.56
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
3928 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$3.7K
$223.43
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
5228 shares @ 43.3¢·now 60.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$3.1K
$875.43
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
2857 shares @ 78.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.3K
$86.83
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
2300 shares @ 81.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$2.0K
$119.60
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
9809 shares @ 17.3¢·now 18.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.8K
$66.79
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
1760 shares @ 62.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.6K
$482.26
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
1951 shares @ 51.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$526.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$3.06Jul 14, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$100.01Jul 14, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1.4KJul 14, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2.2KJul 14, 01:30 UTC
- REWARD$3.56Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$13.52Jul 13, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$17.28Jul 13, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$1.2KJul 13, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$33.41Jul 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$187.23Jul 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$5.6KJul 13, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$411.83Jul 13, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?$268.22Jul 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?$17.78Jul 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$4.0KJul 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$540.00Jul 13, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$3.5KJul 12, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1.0KJul 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$1.2KJul 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 15?$2.0KJul 12, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$42.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
85%
Window
Jun 15, 16:10 UTC → Jul 11, 10:45 UTC
- BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$15.8K@79¢Jul 11, 10:45 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 4 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$15.8K
1 trades
30d volume
$15.8K
1 trades
Buy share
85%
Sample
limited
4 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
$15.8K · 38% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 03:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.