Clumsy-Triangle
0x8c771a986a0030b1b7802d413eb187082c395251
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$55.44
Total PnL
$-110.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$15.46
$10.46
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.55
$2.55
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
77 shares @ 11.7¢·now 10.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$8.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
844 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$6.33
$1.33
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
253 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
72 shares @ 6.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.52
$-3.48
- YES
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Ass" or "Shit" on Truth Social this week?$1.00Apr 7, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Threat" during the next White House Press Briefing?$11.11Apr 7, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Threat" during the next White House Press Briefing?$8.33Mar 18, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$8.33Mar 18, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Beautiful" 10+ times during Women's History Month event?$0.00Mar 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$7.18Mar 13, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Beautiful" 10+ times during Women's History Month event?$7.17Mar 13, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Oil" during Kentucky visit?$0.00Mar 12, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Beautiful" 10+ times during Women's History Month event?$5.38Mar 12, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Oil" during Kentucky visit?$5.38Mar 12, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" during Kentucky visit?$4.90Mar 11, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "President DJT" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)$0.00Mar 11, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "President DJT" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)$4.90Mar 11, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "President DJT" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)$4.56Mar 10, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel on March 4?$0.00Mar 10, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Terrorism" or "Terror" during the next White House Press Briefing?$4.56Mar 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Terrorism" or "Terror" during the next White House Press Briefing?$4.42Mar 10, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?$1.60Mar 10, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel on March 4?$1.25Mar 10, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.04Mar 10, 18:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $11.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".