Frightened-Oak
0x8ca3b962921c6af06af99e5e88afb3210be62d23
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
146
Open notional
$26.71
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 146- YES
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?
14 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$14.00
$10.36
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
76 shares @ 13.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.90
$-6.10
- YES
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.22
$1.22
- YES
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
30 shares @ 6.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.85
$-0.19
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7 shares @ 14.9¢·now 19.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 35.1¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Rabby launch a token by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-0.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia win on 2026-06-07?$45.91Jun 7, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia win on 2026-06-07?$22.59Jun 7, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$14.68Jun 7, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigeria win on 2026-06-10?$1.31Jun 7, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chile win on 2026-06-09?$3.72Jun 7, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia win on 2026-06-07?$11.29Jun 7, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Niger win on 2026-06-08?$1.94Jun 7, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$6.94Jun 7, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLNexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?$94.66May 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?$17.26May 20, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?$51.23May 20, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.82May 12, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.11May 12, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.10May 12, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.11May 12, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.13May 12, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.13May 12, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 in May?$1.19May 12, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$1.00May 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in May?$10.68May 11, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $8.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 14:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.