Legitimate-Chives
0x8ca40fa0a0c2d5a145bc307382b329fcf9d47e83
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$167.10
Total PnL
$42.27
Realised
$20.29
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?
110 shares @ 9.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.65
$24.75
- NO
Will 3+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.67
$-3.33
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
54 shares @ 10.7¢·now 22.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$11.97
$6.16
- YES
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.79
$1.79
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.09
$1.19
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.06
$1.16
- NO
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.68
$-0.22
- NO
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.42
$-0.48
- NO
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.00
$0.25
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?
16 shares @ 63.8¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$7.84
$-2.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.33Jun 14, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?$0.39Jun 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27Jun 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27Jun 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$32.19Jun 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.10Jun 13, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$0.14Jun 13, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malik Tillman be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage match?$8.12Jun 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malik Tillman be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage match?$7.96Jun 12, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.22Jun 12, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$18.10Jun 12, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?$0.00Jun 12, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 12, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 11?$0.46Jun 10, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$0.00Jun 10, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?$9.21Jun 10, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 11?$0.28Jun 9, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?$0.64Jun 9, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 9?$10.33Jun 9, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 01:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.