0x8cbd0628284339733866a91f6d37d4338e8d302b
0x8cbd0628284339733866a91f6d37d4338e8d302b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$15.39
Total PnL
$-0.93
Realised
$2.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
10 shares @ 48.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.60
$2.71
- OVER
Gill vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 23.5
8 shares @ 50.2¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$3.92
$-0.02
- UNDER 2.5
Anna Blinkova vs. Anastasia Potapova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
8 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$3.86
$-0.08
- NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
12 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMGill vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 23.5$0.00Apr 29, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480?$2.01Apr 26, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$10.07Apr 26, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.03Apr 26, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.00Apr 25, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.00Apr 24, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$2.00Apr 24, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$2.00Apr 24, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$2.00Apr 24, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480?$2.00Apr 24, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$2.00Apr 24, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$2.00Apr 24, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$7.58Apr 24, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2.03Apr 24, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$2.03Apr 24, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?$3.89Apr 24, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by April 30?$0.00Apr 24, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.99Apr 24, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$2.10Apr 24, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$0.94Apr 24, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.