Big-Waterbed
0x8cc21c6ac286409d24dad291ac50d86339b264de
active
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-328.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
1671 shares @ 17.9¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$325.79
$25.79
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
3726 shares @ 8.1¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$303.63
$3.64
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
1887 shares @ 13.7¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$226.40
$-31.60
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
3261 shares @ 6.3¢·now 5.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$182.60
$-22.40
- YES
NATO article 5 before 2027?
509 shares @ 15.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.78
$-12.22
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
804 shares @ 24.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$8.44
$-191.56
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$81.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$100.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$100.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$100.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$100.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$158.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$105.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$300.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$200.0019d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $131.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 19d ago
- Last active
- 13d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.