Formal-Wrinkle
0x8d0d48b992ae34303d0dfecfbe1451c8baf2ada6
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$349.07
Total PnL
$-12.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?
243 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$243.31
$0.73
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$100.37
$0.40
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.39
$0.39
- NO
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
2 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Apr 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$242.63Apr 9, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$100.00Apr 9, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$233.31Apr 9, 15:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 2, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$96.30Mar 31, 08:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 31, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 30, 00:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 29, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 28, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 27, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 26, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $130.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.