Physical-Hiking
0x8d383d924f90a75f05da06959b10ae397fb51d49
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$93.65
Total PnL
$-2.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
500 shares @ 6.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
50 shares @ 37.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$17.24
$-1.25
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
25 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.38
$-0.13
- YES
Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?
25 shares @ 45.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$10.25
$-1.00
- YES
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
23 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$9.70
$-0.12
- YES
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
18 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$5.95
$0.09
- YES
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
25 shares @ 24.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$5.38
$-0.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$34.00May 18, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$5.87May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$0.68May 18, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$10.50May 18, 00:03 UTC
- REWARD$1.00May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?$6.00May 17, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.50May 17, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?$11.25May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$8.75May 17, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?$9.75May 17, 22:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $10.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 22:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".