0x8d449b0cf72789b2a419af7bf6659b56062ed646
0x8d449b0cf72789b2a419af7bf6659b56062ed646
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$22.10
Total PnL
$-116.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$9.85
$1.84
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
5 shares @ 76.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.24
$1.23
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 18 2026?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.02
$-0.21
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 55.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.99
$-0.67
- UNDER
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
36 shares @ 92.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-33.26
- OVER
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
35 shares @ 95.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-33.28
- UNDER
Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 138.5
34 shares @ 97.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.66May 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET$4.84May 18, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET$4.78May 17, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET$5.63May 17, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET$4.73May 17, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET$5.63May 17, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET$4.73May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET$8.49May 17, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET$4.73May 17, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 18 2026?$4.23May 16, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.00May 16, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET$4.82May 16, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.23May 16, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET$4.74May 16, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.00May 16, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10PM ET$9.34May 16, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10PM ET$4.83May 16, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET$4.72May 16, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.00May 15, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.69May 15, 22:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $25.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".