Tangible-Guest
0x8d7fc82042c526f9e8d1afb9dd01005c19c30444
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$21.89
Total PnL
$-982.96
Realised
$-222.91
Win rate
6%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
146 shares @ 19.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.91
$-15.12
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.93
$-1.08
- YES
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?
2 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$2.18
$0.14
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.88
$-3.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
780 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-389.88
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
507 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?
451 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
371 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-185.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 8AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 6?$4.92Jun 5, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 6?$5.02Jun 5, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$12.63May 24, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$5.00May 23, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$10.00May 19, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$6.24May 9, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$6.26May 9, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$5.17May 9, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$12.46May 6, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$6.26May 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.71May 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$6.26May 6, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$5.61May 6, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$6.13May 6, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$7.48May 6, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$8.73May 6, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$8.76May 6, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$7.51May 6, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$6.29May 6, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?$1.49May 5, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 12:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.