Squiggly-Pastoralist
0x8da4f7174bf46b73126b6e58bf50f8eb93ffa16f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$295.20
Total PnL
$-105.41
Realised
$-6.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
799 shares @ 25.2¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$215.28
$13.93
- YES
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 26.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$40.00
$29.27
- NO
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$20.00
$0.12
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.50
$-22.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.94
$-1.56
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.48
$0.15
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4093 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-69.82
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.55
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.