Parched-Astrology
0x8dae3c4b1807142e87549adc2a72c55b1392d95b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$7.64
Total PnL
$-33.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.36
$-0.64
- YES
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$2.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.49
$-0.34
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
7 shares @ 13.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-15?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
2256 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Vance say "Nuclear" during his Rocky Mount visit?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.83May 24, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$1.64May 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$1.00Mar 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$2.00Mar 16, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 16?$5.19Mar 16, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$2.19Mar 16, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Playoffs$0.00Mar 16, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Playoffs$0.00Mar 16, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Playoffs$1.28Mar 16, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$2.00Mar 16, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.90Mar 16, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$3.05Mar 16, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYA (NYA) Up or Down on March 16?$4.00Mar 16, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Playoffs$1.00Mar 16, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Playoffs$1.00Mar 16, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Mar 16, 09:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 15:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".