Parched-Sustenance
0x8dc14588aa6f9ea3583c24bcaabc11b59889ea30
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$8.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $4,300 September 15-21?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
1000 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-370.00
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
1000 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?
996 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-238.74
- DOWN
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
798 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-424.47
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 2-8?
539 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-118.60
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $4,400 September 15-21?
500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 29-October 5?
500 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will XRP dip to $2.90 September 15-21?
350 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11PM ET
310 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-161.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOver $35M committed to the Credible public sale?$10.53Jul 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?$20.70Jul 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?$19.30Jul 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?$21.90Jul 17, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $35M committed to the Credible public sale?$28.38Jul 17, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?$77.57Jul 17, 10:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$139.86Jul 14, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw? AND Will Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC end in a draw? AND Will FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw? AND Will The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK end in a draw? AND Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora end in a draw? AND Will APIA Leichhardt FC vs. Peninsula Power FC end in a draw? AND Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw? AND Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka end in a draw? AND Will Rochedale Rovers FC vs. SD Raiders FC end in a draw? AND Will Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje end in a draw?$1.00Jul 14, 08:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$146.42Jul 12, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$25.83Jul 8, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$53.75Jul 6, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMArcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?$220.00Jun 23, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYArcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?$125.40Jun 22, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$313.59Jun 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$118.81Jun 12, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?$22.00Jun 8, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$9.62Jun 8, 04:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $43.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 07:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 10:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.