Alive-Thunderstorm
0x8dc7a4315b3a6230a507a3776e68cd3ceb2b116f
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$24.3K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-88.34
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2650 shares @ 86.7¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$188.71
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2000 shares @ 54.5¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$39.81
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
1221 shares @ 83.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.1K
$39.74
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7000 shares @ 8.2¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.0K
$443.98
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1500 shares @ 47.9¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$832.50
$114.70
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3300 shares @ 11.8¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$767.21
$378.81
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
700 shares @ 88.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$654.40
$37.92
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
700 shares @ 79.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$612.50
$55.50
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
600 shares @ 90.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$577.50
$35.70
- NO
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
607 shares @ 69.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$552.20
$131.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.64Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$248.44Jun 12, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$149.15Jun 12, 16:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$0.31Jun 11, 16:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$200.00Jun 7, 03:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$72.71Jun 3, 10:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.73May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.72May 30, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $70.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.