Polished-Desire
0x8dcf4bd0fe0c02dda36d03b967da86874590d757
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$40.53
Total PnL
$-5.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?
29 shares @ 17.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$6.88
$1.88
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get less than 66 million views on day 4?
251 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.63
$-1.37
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.45
$-1.55
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4?$2.1020m ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?$1.0521m ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get less than 66 million views on day 4?$2.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?$5.212h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 3?$1.052h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.063h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.003h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.003h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.003h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$10.453h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.193h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.003h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$11.113h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.263h ago
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$6.613h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7h ago
- Last active
- 20m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".