Frail-Hemisphere-Hardcover
0x8dd28e7f5e21cb66e47121c1cfab30c398931519
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.38
Total PnL
$-805.44
Realised
$-71.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.38
$-19.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
557 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.57
- YES
Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ALEXANDER BUBLIK
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik
332 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-245.51
- YES
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?
144 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-64.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
140 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-68.39
- YES
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
95 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-48.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$2.27May 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik$247.44Apr 14, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBarcelona Open: Martin Landaluce vs Lorenzo Musetti$248.27Apr 14, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarcelona Open: Martin Landaluce vs Lorenzo Musetti$146.15Apr 14, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$147.53Apr 14, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarcelona Open: Martin Landaluce vs Lorenzo Musetti$43.23Apr 14, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?$16.49Apr 14, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$27.02Apr 14, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$157.82Apr 14, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$157.83Apr 14, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.00Apr 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$3.43Apr 13, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$3.43Apr 13, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?$15.13Apr 13, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.12Apr 13, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$163.22Apr 13, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.00Apr 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.00Apr 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$202.37Apr 13, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.00Apr 12, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $58.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".