Frightening-Chorus
0x8dd834e388c9eb8867d09aff3333456c2a884e7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$882.61
Total PnL
$3.00
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
800 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$783.60
$0.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.03
$0.38
- NO
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.92
$0.14
- NO
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.91
$0.04
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.96
$0.27
- NO
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.94
$-0.02
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.92
$0.12
- NO
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.91
$-0.04
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.88
$0.00
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.76
$-0.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$783.86Jun 11, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 11, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jun 11, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.03Jun 11, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.11Jun 11, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.14Jun 11, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.26Jun 11, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.41Jun 11, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$5.00Jun 11, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$5.00Jun 11, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 11, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$5.00Jun 11, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 11, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$5.00Jun 11, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$8.00Jun 11, 06:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $58.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 06:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.