Elderly-Brow
0x8de97ce949113363e75be6a43b016f8e63c66018
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$956.50
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$28.08
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$200.00
$100.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$200.00
$88.00
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
200 shares @ 43.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$196.70
$110.70
- YES
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
169 shares @ 59.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$168.81
$68.81
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
405 shares @ 65.5¢·now 19.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.19
$-184.96
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.50
$-32.50
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 58.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$47.50
$-10.50
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
40 shares @ 42.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.20
$-7.60
- YES
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
7 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$6.60
$4.95
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
2500 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-178.03
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.70May 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?$5.96May 22, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?$50.00May 22, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?$44.05May 22, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$8.40May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$13.42May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$0.06May 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$0.05May 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$0.89May 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$8.55May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$1.41May 16, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$0.79May 16, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$0.81May 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$0.52May 16, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$8.12May 16, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$4.21May 16, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$9.20May 16, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$3.30May 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$0.18May 16, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $18.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 01:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.