Decent-Reality
0x8e12390e45a31e5900e9629e04308115ae0f116a
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.33
Total PnL
$-18.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
3 shares @ 38.6¢·now 12.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- UP
XRP Up or Down on May 17?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down this week?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$1.02May 27, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$1.03May 27, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.59May 27, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.00Apr 4, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$2.05Apr 4, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$2.00Mar 14, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$2.00Feb 16, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$1.68Feb 16, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$2.00Jan 26, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Dec 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$1.74Dec 9, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$2.00Nov 18, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.95Nov 18, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England rate cut in 2025?$3.00Oct 21, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.00Oct 21, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$2.00Sep 24, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Yemen by August 31?$4.29Sep 24, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$2.00Aug 23, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 31?$3.00Aug 23, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$3.12Aug 23, 19:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.