Irresponsible-Alarm
0x8e145f275d2cd6bef41a9b731b6cf817aa9188b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-137.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1515 shares @ 54.9¢·now 52.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$792.89
$-38.62
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
368 shares @ 78.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$292.74
$5.52
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?
262 shares @ 84.4¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$212.22
$-8.98
- YES
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
418 shares @ 19.1¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.20
$-29.56
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
232 shares @ 24.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$46.40
$-9.28
- YES
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
97 shares @ 37.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.33
$1.45
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
86 shares @ 37.6¢·now 36.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.00
$-1.33
- YES
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
517 shares @ 3.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.50
$8.07
- YES
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
40 shares @ 25.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.49
$-0.64
- YES
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
35 shares @ 21.3¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.88
$0.43
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$857.76May 15, 12:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?$126.00May 14, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?$95.77May 14, 06:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?$10.44May 11, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$15.42May 11, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$6.81May 11, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$14.55May 11, 11:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$289.75May 10, 08:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$33.14May 8, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$58.73May 5, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $81.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".