Firm-Lemonade
0x8e217bc6d4efc8291e76d3643f2ac1d2c50404ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$297.27
Total PnL
$-145.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
71 shares @ 70.6¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$54.20
$4.20
- YES
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?
92 shares @ 58.5¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$53.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
109 shares @ 46.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$51.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$50.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?
204 shares @ 24.4¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$46.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
52 shares @ 67.8¢·now 59.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$30.47
$-4.53
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
2243 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.09
$-77.54
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
326 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.30
$-3.70
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
636 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.64
$-4.36
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
2609 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$211.9313h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$51.0813h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$54.9013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?$51.5114h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$35.4514h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$50.5914h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$50.4214h ago
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$152.2314h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$10.0015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$10.0015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$10.0015h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.0015h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.0015h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.0015h ago
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$255.4515h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.3319h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.3219h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.2919h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.2319h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$5.0019h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $34.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 13h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".