Scornful-Beginning
0x8e27dff0d1c00749fa9058f6f0e070cf28c2a485
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$38.58
Total PnL
$-91.30
Realised
$1.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.47
$1.47
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.68
$-2.32
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
40 shares @ 14.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
15 shares @ 32.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$-2.95
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
22 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
8 shares @ 53.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-2.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00Apr 29, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00Apr 29, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$6.00Apr 7, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2.00Apr 5, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$7.82Apr 5, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$2.00Mar 30, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$0.22Mar 30, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.12Mar 30, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$0.46Mar 30, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$0.22Mar 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$0.47Mar 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.00Mar 23, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$1.00Mar 23, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$4.00Mar 23, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 23, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 23, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$3.00Mar 23, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$5.00Mar 23, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.00Mar 12, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.00Mar 12, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 18:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 12:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".