Fond-Coevolution
0x8e581b4bfaee8af48ad44fb16f301d6cd77f205a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$-773.67
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- KAMALA
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
4818 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?
2960 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2023$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Another Ensemble member next Prime Minister of France?
2000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
1934 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
1820 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-364.02
- YES
Will Aresnal win the Premier League?
1621 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2024$0.00
$-502.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Simone Biles wins 4 gold medals?
873 shares @ 94.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2024$0.00
$-829.09
- NO
Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?
604 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-280.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$72.80Mar 22, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$34.98Mar 19, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$36.44Mar 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 17?$36.44Mar 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 17?$23.00Mar 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$23.00Mar 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$399.39Mar 17, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$75.64Mar 17, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 16?$75.63Mar 17, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 16?$71.85Mar 16, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 15?$9.85Mar 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 15?$9.21Mar 15, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$1.00Mar 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLApple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 21?$1.26Jan 21, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 21?$81.00Jan 21, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$89.95Jan 16, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$52.63Jan 15, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$52.63Jan 15, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBills vs. Jaguars$100.20Jan 11, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$50.00Jan 10, 16:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $230.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".