Thorny-Minnow
0x8ecb65d4920806ad6d3a7778b9388c0ccdae7c88
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$45.11
Total PnL
$-58.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.02
$0.02
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
3 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.27
$0.01
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.99
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$-0.02
- NO
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 96.2¢·now 94.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$-0.10
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
3 shares @ 95.3¢·now 58.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.62
$-1.03
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.46
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 30, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$4.02May 30, 08:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?$1.00May 28, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in July 2026?$1.20May 28, 06:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 23?$1.26May 22, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?$1.20May 22, 14:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.02May 17, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".