Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$542.22
Liquidity
$1.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 718.2h
- 01:48SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 718h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 0¢-0.1pp
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $9.9M
- 10¢+3.0pp
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $3.6M
- 35¢+5.0pp
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $1.2M
- 58¢+34.0pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-0.4pp
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $1.1M
- 4¢+0.1pp
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Geopolitics · Vol $827.5K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relativAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).