Ample-Fantasy
0x8ee34dc2bb3e2b4a18107d2a4634b25bdf31db57
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.29
Total PnL
$-61.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
153 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13?
121 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
32 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
30 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Malta come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.03May 12, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.03May 12, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.04May 11, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$8.06May 9, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Unbelievable" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?$6.52May 7, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Unbelievable" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?$3.06May 5, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Pyramid" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?$3.06May 5, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Vaccine" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?$3.06May 5, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?$2.00Apr 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 20, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Apr 20, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.00Apr 20, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.00Apr 20, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Thank" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.00Apr 20, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$1.00Apr 16, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$2.00Apr 16, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$5.00Apr 16, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.05Apr 15, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$3.00Apr 14, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.