Electric-Interpretation
0x8f13db915cca106e6330e8a39996c0a875d8daae
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$436.27
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
67%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- NO
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
441 shares @ 59.9¢·now 57.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$253.56
$-10.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28?
143 shares @ 55.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$143.42
$63.22
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
267 shares @ 49.5¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$129.52
$-2.72
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
479 shares @ 21.3¢·now 22.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$105.39
$3.25
- YES
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
229 shares @ 22.7¢·now 42.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$96.32
$44.19
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
296 shares @ 34.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$96.04
$-4.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
213 shares @ 42.8¢·now 41.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$88.39
$-2.98
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?
242 shares @ 55.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$71.45
$-61.76
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?
93 shares @ 71.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$69.12
$3.25
- YES
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
122 shares @ 47.8¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$61.60
$3.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$26.52Jul 28, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 28?$0.03Jul 28, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win on 2026-07-28?$0.00Jul 28, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMLiberec: Hynek Barton vs Andrej Nedic$0.00Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$12.95Jul 28, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$0.34Jul 28, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$34.85Jul 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$23.55Jul 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$8.94Jul 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?$1.34Jul 28, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 28?$0.81Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 28?$6.50Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 28?$13.88Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 28?$22.00Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$5.39Jul 28, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win on 2026-07-28?$84.76Jul 28, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win on 2026-07-28?$4.90Jul 28, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
76/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 58 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
58 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $28.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.