Relieved-Return
0x8f2031db8833c7582efe6e7bdc7cf9e46904875c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$92.14
Total PnL
$-55.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.95
$0.00
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 75.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.94
$1.16
- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.94
$-0.01
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.93
$0.08
- NO
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.88
$-0.02
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.87
$0.07
- YES
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.74
$2.64
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.68
$1.28
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.67
$0.42
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.50
$-0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$5.00Jun 12, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.75Jun 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$4.95Jun 12, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$2.45Jun 12, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.50Jun 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? $0.50Jun 12, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$5.00Jun 12, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.55Jun 12, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 30?$5.00Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.30Jun 11, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$5.00Jun 11, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$2.65Jun 11, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$5.00Jun 11, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$1.50Jun 11, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$3.23Jun 11, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$2.90Jun 11, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$5.00Jun 10, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?$0.75Jun 10, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$4.25Jun 10, 16:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 19:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.