Courteous-Likeness
0x8f2100aa027be80f8ad7106d21a9f95a26a5b935
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.3K
Total PnL
$-8.3K
Realised
$-325.30
Win rate
52%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7576 shares @ 26.4¢·now 23.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.8K
$-246.20
- NO
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
1085 shares @ 72.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$227.09
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1094 shares @ 91.4¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$966.32
$-33.68
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1000 shares @ 62.3¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$809.50
$186.50
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
690 shares @ 58.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$677.24
$277.24
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$483.33
$-16.67
- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
42857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$364.29
$64.33
- NO
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
204 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.45
$-0.55
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
295 shares @ 86.5¢·now 61.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$180.06
$-74.94
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
277 shares @ 72.3¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$168.75
$-31.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.28Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$514.77Jun 13, 16:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$29.85Jun 12, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$2.3KJun 12, 17:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.0KJun 10, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$16.32Jun 10, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$613.54Jun 10, 06:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?$5.70Jun 7, 04:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$376.24Jun 4, 03:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $127.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.