0x8f3485e282df1f3390cfc63ecafb1e06e933099d
0x8f3485e282df1f3390cfc63ecafb1e06e933099d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$27.93
Total PnL
$-2.06
Realised
$-0.39
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 28.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$5.64
$1.59
- NO
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?
4 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.91
$0.00
- NO
Will Beyoncé be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.45
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
3 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$2.45
$-0.00
- NO
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.10
$-0.11
- NO
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.04
$-0.00
- NO
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$1.64
$-0.03
- NO
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 35.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.55
$-0.02
- NO
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$1.10
$-0.00
- NO
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.09
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.02Jun 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.08Jun 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.39Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.50Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.51Jun 13, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.09Jun 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.05Jun 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.22Jun 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.35Jun 13, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.61Jun 13, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.31Jun 13, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.09Jun 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.07Jun 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.61Jun 13, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.05Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.07Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.32Jun 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.27Jun 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.07Jun 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.05Jun 13, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.