Well-Groomed-Wrapping
0x8f7856760e239d987edb7ae2e0dd583711351141
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-128.76
Realised
$-4.58
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$848.50
$348.50
- NO
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
300 shares @ 86.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$292.65
$32.25
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$151.50
$-348.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
200 shares @ 96.3¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$142.00
$-50.60
- YES
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
269 shares @ 65.7¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$140.12
$-37.03
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
250 shares @ 70.3¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$131.37
$-44.50
- YES
Arcium FDV above $50M one day after launch?
109 shares @ 83.6¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$100.59
$9.13
- YES
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?
256 shares @ 47.1¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$97.22
$-23.22
- YES
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?
122 shares @ 73.6¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$79.79
$-9.86
- YES
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?
70 shares @ 76.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$56.35
$3.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$5.15Jun 11, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$192.60Jun 11, 12:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?$175.37Jun 10, 07:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$0.00Jun 9, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMNexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.00Jun 9, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMNexus FDV above $50M one day after launch?$0.00Jun 9, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMNexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?$0.00Jun 9, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$11.40Jun 9, 14:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?$4.33Jun 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?$13.00Jun 8, 11:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- MERGEWill Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?$20.00Jun 4, 15:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $40.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 18:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.