Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Probability
78¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$116.00
Liquidity
$4.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+10.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 78¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14768h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14768.4h
- 20:35SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 14768h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 78¢.
Biggest hourly move: +17.0pp at 1d ago (to 87¢).
Show all 38 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · +9.5pp → 78¢
- 19:00 · +9.5pp → 78¢
- 17:00 · +9.5pp → 78¢
- 16:00 · +7.5pp → 78¢
- 15:00 · +9.5pp → 78¢
- 13:00 · +9.5pp → 78¢
- 12:00 · +7.0pp → 78¢
- 10:00 · +8.5pp → 78¢
- 09:00 · +9.5pp → 78¢
- 08:00 · +9.0pp → 78¢
- 06:00 · +9.5pp → 78¢
- 05:00 · +9.5pp → 78¢
- 03:00 · +9.0pp → 78¢
- 02:00 · +9.0pp → 78¢
- 00:00 · +10.5pp → 80¢
- 22:00 · +10.5pp → 80¢
- 1d ago · +10.5pp → 80¢
- 1d ago · +10.0pp → 79¢
- 1d ago · +10.0pp → 79¢
- 1d ago · +7.0pp → 77¢
- 1d ago · +17.0pp → 87¢
- 1d ago · +15.0pp → 84¢
- 1d ago · +16.0pp → 86¢
- 1d ago · +9.5pp → 82¢
- 1d ago · +13.0pp → 85¢
- 2d ago · +10.0pp → 81¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +10.5pp → 81¢
- 2d ago · +14.0pp → 85¢
- 2d ago · +11.5pp → 82¢
- 2d ago · +13.0pp → 84¢
- 2d ago · +10.5pp → 81¢
- 2d ago · +15.0pp → 86¢
- 2d ago · +15.5pp → 86¢
- 2d ago · +14.0pp → 86¢
- 2d ago · +12.5pp → 83¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 71¢
- 4d ago · +3.5pp → 73¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryusing the total token supply multiplied by the token priceLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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