Advanced-Island
0x8fc931194b725cddb3108d48c620d92107f0489a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$82.82
Total PnL
$-122.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
27 shares @ 74.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.77
$2.77
- NO
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.01
$1.01
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
90 shares @ 11.1¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.69
$-1.31
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
116 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.66
$-1.34
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.92
$2.92
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.01
$-2.99
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.59
$1.59
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.74
$-4.26
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.44
$-5.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 10?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$10.00Jun 6, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$10.00Jun 6, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.93Jun 6, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$5.10Jun 6, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$5.19Jun 6, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$5.01Jun 6, 10:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$12.51Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $8.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.