Exciting-Manhunt
0x8fe2bc7640e36d79a21724a4c81d99ab7367952c
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$125.10
Total PnL
$0.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
28 shares @ 87.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?
27 shares @ 71.4¢·now 68.6¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$18.27
$-0.75
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
15 shares @ 81.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.60
$1.60
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
8 shares @ 83.2¢·now 96.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.13
$1.13
- NO
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
5 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
5 shares @ 93.9¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$10.00May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.02May 18, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 17?$6.02May 17, 21:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.50May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?$14.02May 16, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$10.01May 16, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 11?$0.00May 16, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $9.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".