Grounded-Sector
0x90f5fd90354030fd9f1d7f385da43a4f5ac72c01
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-276.62
Realised
$562.42
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
31092 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-264.72
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5265 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-89.50
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.40
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-32.40
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
600 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-132.00
- YES
Will Pacto Histórico win <18 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
436 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
429 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-66.42
- YES
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
300 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-55.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$57.16Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$58.00Jul 2, 01:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $25.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 02:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.