0x917d18318d2707362cc85df0a8b931028857d5df
0x917d18318d2707362cc85df0a8b931028857d5df
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$238.22
Total PnL
$-323.73
Realised
$-79.18
Win rate
14%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
42 shares @ 17.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$42.14
$34.62
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
31 shares @ 28.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$31.48
$22.41
- NO
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
29 shares @ 66.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$29.27
$9.71
- NO
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
27 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$27.24
$27.24
- NO
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?
24 shares @ 31.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$23.77
$16.33
- YES
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
23 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$23.09
$19.39
- YES
Thailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?
18 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$17.56
$17.56
- YES
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
14 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$14.47
$2.60
- YES
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?
8 shares @ 87.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$7.72
$0.98
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?
7 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$6.91
$3.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$8.69Feb 24, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$10.26Feb 24, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$25.83Feb 24, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?$5.57Feb 24, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?$0.45Feb 24, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?$1.86Feb 24, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$1.51Feb 24, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$2.40Feb 24, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?$0.13Feb 24, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by February 28?$1.00Feb 24, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$5.40Feb 23, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$5.40Feb 23, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$5.40Feb 23, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$10.79Feb 23, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?$0.99Feb 23, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?$0.12Feb 23, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$6.73Feb 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$3.49Feb 22, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$3.95Feb 22, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 22, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 02:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".