Trusting-Deal
0x91c902357859d1c278cbda0a7ce2d8056576ed80
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-03?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-03?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on May 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump out as President by May 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 28?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Hulk Hogan: Real American" be the top global Netflix show this week?
170 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Straight to Hell: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
165 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
161 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$2.66Jun 20, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.06Jun 20, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$0.12Jun 20, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97Jun 16, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97Jun 16, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.82Jun 16, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97Jun 16, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.18Jun 16, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 12+ times during earnings call?$1.04May 28, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.05May 28, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.07May 27, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$1.00May 27, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 27, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 27, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 27, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 27, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 27, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?$1.05May 27, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 28?$1.05May 27, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on May 28?$1.05May 27, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 15:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.