Hard-Recorder
0x9209b4ef4706a64265fbe1a6fce176c8bd64b4d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-9.9K
Realised
$0.57
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
260 shares @ 20.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$259.10
$207.02
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
209 shares @ 63.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$180.78
$49.12
- NO
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
293 shares @ 59.6¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$175.94
$1.04
- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
222 shares @ 69.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$156.69
$3.33
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
282 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$152.28
$-8.46
- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
353 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$146.58
$-1.77
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
121 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$109.36
$9.06
- YES
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
422 shares @ 21.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$94.99
$6.33
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
90 shares @ 81.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.59
$-4.42
- NEW YORK YANKEES
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
119 shares @ 45.8¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$54.53
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTotal Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?$6.44Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs$5.00Jun 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$6.16Jun 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$32.94Jun 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$17.97Jun 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$2.85Jun 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$47.88Jun 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$98.04Jun 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$15.43Jun 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$12.12Jun 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$5.61Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$1.56Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?$1.03Jun 13, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$14.91Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.37Jun 13, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$2.49Jun 13, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$4.37Jun 13, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$15.11Jun 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$28.44Jun 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$8.31Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $11.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 20:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.