Ornery-Shovel
0x925975502722f0e064fc577ed28ebfe2cc42746e
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$260.00
Total PnL
$-767.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
400 shares @ 77.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$260.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
1364 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-374.41
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
400 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
15 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.30
- YES
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$1.05Jun 2, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$295.53Jun 1, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$2.30Jun 1, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$12.59Jun 1, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.12Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$5.22Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.32May 31, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$269.73May 31, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.30May 30, 07:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.71May 30, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$68.82May 29, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$3.39May 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$13.17May 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$81.00May 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.44May 29, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$54.00May 29, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$74.18May 29, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$847.10May 29, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$80.15May 29, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$2.01May 28, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $113.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 13:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 01:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.